Market insights and analysis

How dynamic, risk-managed investment solutions are performing in the current market environment

1st Quarter | 2021

Market insights and analysis

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Updates on how dynamic, risk-managed investment solutions are performing in the current market environment.

U.S. equity markets posted gains in all three indexes last week. The NASDAQ Composite gained 2.96%, the S&P 500 gained 2.27%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.21%. Ten of 11 sectors were up last week; Energy, which posted the largest gain, was up by 8.51%.

Last week, positive news about the COVID-19 vaccines provided a temporary boost for the equities market. Gold prices responded by moving down to the 200-day moving average.

The major stock market indexes finished mixed last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.7%, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.8%, the NASDAQ Composite rose 0.2%, and the Russell 2000 small-capitalization index rose 2.4%. The 10-year Treasury bond yield fell 7 basis points, and bond prices were up slightly. Last week, spot gold closed at $1,870.99, down $18.21 per ounce, or 0.96%.

Things to be thankful for

For a variety of reasons, 2020 has engendered a wide range of strong emotions for many people: fear, uncertainty, anger, depression, resignation, loneliness, and (unfortunately) sadness and grief. But for many, there have been more positive and constructive responses: determination, commitment, hope, and a sense of community.

Last week, the gold spot price was down 0.96% and the U.S. Dollar Index was down 0.39%.

U.S. equity markets posted losses in two of three indexes last week. The NASDAQ Composite gained 0.22%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.73%, and the S&P 500 lost 0.77%. Four of 11 sectors were up last week; Energy, which posted the largest gain, was up by 4.99%.

Gold moved sideways last week, closing at $1,872.40 per ounce.

Special 2020 Election Update: Part 2

Two weeks ago, I wrote about the different scenarios that history teaches are possible based on the party in control of the presidency and Congress. This was done through the lens of our Political Seasonality Index (PSI) that I developed for a series of columns back in the nineties for Barron’s magazine.

The major stock market indexes were mostly up this week, responding to positive news about the development of a COVID-19 vaccine.

Last week, the gold spot price was down 3.18% and the U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.57%.

U.S. equity markets posted gains in two of three indexes last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 4.08%, the S&P 500 gained 2.16%, and the NASDAQ Composite lost 0.55%. Nine of 11 sectors were up last week; Energy, which posted the largest gain, was up by 16.46%.

Gold climbed back from the steep decline it experienced on Monday (11/9) after U.S. drugmaker Pfizer said its COVID-19 vaccine was more than 90% effective based on initial trial results.

Market Update 11/9/20

As Election Day turned into election week, the major indexes rallied, experiencing weekly gains not seen since April. The NASDAQ Composite surged 9.0%, the S&P 500 gained 7.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 6.9%, and the Russell 2000 small-capitalization index increased 6.9%. The 10-year Treasury bond yield fell 5 basis points to 0.82%, as Treasury bonds rose for the week. Last week, spot gold closed at $1,951.35, up 3.86%.

ETF deathwatch

October ETF Deathwatch contains 351 zombie ETFs and ETNs.

Conquering FUD in investing

Recently I was listening to an interview with a marketing expert who was explaining how marketing campaigns are crafted to change the way people think, shop, and vote. The discussion really got my attention when the guest said that such campaigns are designed to escalate fear, uncertainty, and doubt among the audience. He referred to this approach as a “FUD campaign.”

Last week, the gold spot price was up 3.86% and the U.S. Dollar Index was down 1.92%.

U.S. equity markets posted gains in all three indexes last week. The NASDAQ Composite gained 9.01%, the S&P 500 gained 7.32%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 6.87%. All 11 sectors were up last week; Information Technology, which posted the largest gain, was up by 9.70%.

Gold broke back above both the $1,900-per-ounce support level and the 50-day moving average, closing the week at $1,951.70 per ounce.

The major stock market indexes finished to the downside last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 6.5%, the S&P 500 Index fell 5.6%, the NASDAQ Composite slipped 5.5%, and the Russell 2000 small-capitalization index lost ground at a 6.2% rate. The 10-year Treasury bond yield rose 3 basis points, causing Treasury bonds generally to fall. Last week, spot gold closed lower at $1,878.81, down $23.24 per ounce, or 1.2%.

In 1999, I began working with writer Susan Ward at the weekly financial news magazine Barron’s to produce a series of columns on Flexible Plan Investments’ (FPI’s) Political Seasonality Index (PSI).

Last week, the gold spot price was down 1.22% and the U.S. Dollar Index was up 1.37%.

U.S. equity markets posted losses in all three indexes last week. The NASDAQ Composite lost 5.51%, the S&P 500 lost 5.64%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 6.47%. All 11 sectors were down last week; Utilities, which posted the smallest loss, was down by 3.70%.

When surprises occur in everyday investing

When we think of our lives or just talk about what we have been doing lately with a friend, we tend to focus on big events. If we have just started a new job or a baby was born, the event dominates our conversations. Similarly, in the news, election and pandemic news can consume the headlines and color what we think is occurring around us.

Election uncertainty

Gold prices broke below the $1,900-per-ounce level, testing the previous lows that were reached in late September.

Today I’d like to discuss the concept of strategic diversification (investing in multiple investment strategies to diversify among asset classes, methodologies, and time frames) in the context of the current market environment.

Differences matter

Differences matter

My involvement in politics as a volunteer, employee, and consultant stretches back more than 60 years. During that time, I have always been an advocate on behalf of specific candidates.

The major stock market indexes were mixed last week. The NASDAQ was down 1.1%, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.5%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.0%, and the Russell 2000 gained 0.4%. The 10-year Treasury bond yield rose about 10 basis points, as Treasury bonds fell slightly for the week. Last week, spot gold rose slightly, gaining 0.2%.

U.S. equity markets posted losses in all three indexes last week.

Last week, the gold spot price was up 0.15% and the U.S. Dollar Index was down 0.98%.

Last week, gold prices continued to find support around $1,900 per ounce.

The Halloween season has always been one of my favorite times of the year.

After a rally on Monday, the major indexes pulled back and finished last week relatively flat.

Last week, the gold spot price was down 1.61% and the U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.67%.

U.S. equity markets posted gains in all three indexes last week.

Uncertainty ahead

Gold prices continued to stay around the $1,900-per-ounce support level, closing the week at $1,906.40 per ounce.

Does every day seem the same as the last? That’s the complaint I hear most often as the pandemic wears on.

Equities were up significantly in the third quarter despite a sell-off in September.

U.S. equity markets posted gains in all three indexes last week.

Last week, the gold spot price was up 1.61% and the U.S. Dollar Index was down 0.84%

The price of gold climbed back above the $1,900-per-ounce support level, closing the week at $1,926.20 per ounce.

ETF deathwatch

September ETF Deathwatch contains 364 zombie ETFs and ETNs.

Taking personal bias out of the investing equation

I have spoken with many financial advisers lately, and, of course, one of the topics at the top of their minds was the recent presidential debate. Some of the advisers I spoke to are committed Democrats and some are committed Republicans. One would never have known that we all watched and heard the same event based on what we each thought we saw, heard, and understood—all of which was reflected through the lens of our personal bias.

The major indexes gained last week. The NASDAQ Composite finished the week up 1.48%, the S&P 500 gained 1.52%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.87%, and the Russell 2000 small-capitalization index gained 4.37%. The 10-year Treasury bond yield rose 5 basis points to 0.70%, as Treasury bonds fell for the week. Last week, spot gold closed at $1,899.84, up 2.06%.

Early this morning it dawned on me that I have not looked at the global stock market in some time. As investors, we understandably tend to focus on domestic markets—even though there is a world of opportunity available to us. Those opportunities, including those outside of stocks, are why Flexible Plan builds strategically diversified portfolios.

U.S. equity markets posted gains in all three indexes last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.87%, the S&P 500 gained 1.52%, and the NASDAQ Composite gained 1.48%. Ten of the 11 sectors were up last week; Real Estate, which posted the largest gain, was up 4.87%. Four of the eight Quantified Funds were up last week: The Quantified Evolution Plus Fund (QEVOX) gained 2.76%, the Quantified Market Leaders Fund (QMLFX) was up 2.16%, the Quantified Common Ground Fund (QCGDX) gained 2.07%, the Quantified Alternative Investment Fund (QALTX) was up 1.46%, the Quantified Pattern Recognition Fund (QSPMX) was down 0.10%, the Quantified Managed Income Fund (QBDSX) was down 0.33%, the Quantified Tactical Fixed Income Fund (QFITX) was down 1.34%, and the Quantified STF Fund (QSTFX) was down 2.24%.

Last week, the gold spot price was up 2.06% and the U.S. Dollar Index was down 0.84%.

2020 strikes again

Last week, gold bounced back after testing previous lows.

Personal benchmarks

I can still feel the doorjamb pressed hard against the back of my head, each move causing a painful tug against an errant strand of hair. But I wanted to be there, and I strained to stretch my body upward, fighting the urge to resort to tiptoes. Dad took the ruler and balanced it evenly on the top of my head. He then quickly penciled in a line at its intersection with the molding behind me.

Market Update 9/28/20

The major stock market indexes finished mixed last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.75%, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.6%, the NASDAQ Composite rose 1.11%, and the Russell 2000 small-capitalization index lost 4.0%. The 10-year Treasury bond yield fell 3 basis points, and bond prices were flat. Last week, spot gold closed at $1,861.58, down $89.28 per ounce, or 4.6%.

Gold broke out of its price consolidation pattern last week. However, instead of continuing the previous uptrend, it closed down for the week at $1,866.30 per ounce, testing the previous low of the formation set back in August.